Regime Classification: Semi – Consolidated Democracy

Nations in Transit Score (1 = Most Democratic, 7 = Least Democratic)

Score Evolution:

NIT Country Rank: 10/29

Quick Facts

Capital:Budapest
Population:9.86 million
GNI/capita, PPP:$23,630
Freedom in the World Status:Free
Press Freedom Status:Partly Free
Net Freedom Status:Free

2017
National Democratic Governance4.25
Electoral Process3.00
Civil Society2.75
Independent Media4.25
Local Democratic Governance3.00
Judicial Framework and Independence3.00
Corruption4.50
Democracy Score3.54

2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
National Democratic Governance2.252.502.503.003.503.503.753.754.004.25
Electoral Process1.751.751.751.752.252.252.252.752.753.00
Civil Society1.501.751.752.002.002.252.252.502.502.75
Independent Media2.502.502.753.253.503.503.503.753.754.25
Local Democratic Governance2.252.502.502.502.502.752.753.003.003.00
Judicial Framework and Independence1.751.752.002.252.752.502.502.753.003.00
Corruption3.003.253.503.503.503.503.753.754.004.50
Democracy Score2.142.292.392.612.862.892.963.183.293.54

NOTE: The ratings reflect the consensus of Freedom House, its academic advisers, and the author(s) of this report. If consensus cannot be reached, Freedom House is responsible for the final ratings. The ratings are based on a scale of 1 to 7, with 1 representing the highest level of democratic progress and 7 the lowest. The Democracy Score is an average of ratings for the categories tracked in a given year. The opinions expressed in this report are those of the author(s).

Score Changes:

National Democratic Governance rating declined from 4.00 to 4.25 due to the continued centralization of power and the total domination of the political system and economy by the governing parties, as well as the deployment of illiberal rhetoric.

Electoral Process rating declined from 2.75 to 3.00 due to the manipulation of the refugee quota referendum and the Sunday shop closure scandal, when security guards blocked an opposition politician from filing a referendum initiative on the controversial shopping ban.

Civil Society rating declined from 2.50 to 2.75 due to an increasingly hostile political atmosphere, and allegations of surveillance and outsourced physical violence against watchdog NGOs and other civil society representatives.

Independent Media rating declined from 3.75 to 4.25 due to the strong political intervention in the Hungarian media market, several acquisitions financed with the help of state-controlled banks, and the controversial circumstances leading to the shutdown of the newspaper Népszabadság, Hungary's leading critical daily.

Corruption rating declined from 4.00 to 4.50 due to large-scale and unpunished corruption involving not just government-friendly oligarchs but also high-ranking politicians and officials.

As a result, Hungary's Democracy Score declined from 3.29 to 3.54.

By Daniel Hegedüs

Executive Summary:

In a year dominated by the Europe-wide advance of national-populist and radical parties, democratic governance in Hungary, a pioneer of "illiberal democracy," further deteriorated. Adopting the same strategy as in 2015, the ruling coalition of Fidesz-Hungarian Civic Alliance and its minor partner, Christian Democratic People's Party (KDNP), maintained its popularity and electoral support by whipping up resentment and xenophobia.

Although the number of asylum seekers applying for refugee status in Hungary declined sharply after the closure of the southern border in late 2015, the government dominated the political agenda in 2016 by exploiting the issue of European Union (EU) refugee relocation quotas. Following a lengthy, expensive, and excessively biased campaign on the matter, the government pushed through a referendum on dubious constitutional footing in October; disregarding the invalid turnout of below 50 percent, the government put forward the constitutional amendment in November. The amendment eventually failed due to Fidesz's lack of a two-thirds majority in the parliament.

The year 2016 was also characterized by increased pressure on critical nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) and opposition politicians. Cases included smear campaigns against opposition politicians and activists, physical intimidation and instances of violence outsourced to private security companies, reported wiretapping of watchdog NGOs, and calls to investigate them as agents of foreign interests. As the left-leaning opposition was divided in its reaction to the refugee quota referendum, engaged civil society organizations heavily criticizing the administration's xenophobic public discourse and policy were posited as the real political challengers to the government. On the one occasion when the parliamentary opposition had a chance of successfully confronting the governing parties in February, thugs showed up in the hall of the National Election Office (NVI) and effectively blocked an opposition politician from submitting a referendum initiative on the controversial Sunday shopping ban. While NVI later decided to accept the initiative, the government abolished the shopping ban before a vote could be held on the policy.

The media landscape changed significantly in comparison with the previous year. Due to the support of the deeply biased public media and important acquisitions in the television, online, and print segment, progovernment outlets have come to dominate the market to an overwhelming degree unimaginable even a year earlier. The October shutdown of the country's leading daily newspaper, Népszabadság, underlined both the governing party's vast influence on the market and the fact that – unlike in previous years – acquisitions and economic control, not legislative power, are the most important tools of influence.

Recent developments confirm the existence of a "reverse state capture" in Hungary, where politics and a strong state set up corruption networks and use public power and resources to reward friendly oligarchs. In addition to loyal oligarchs, leading government figures stood in the crosshairs of corruption accusations in 2016. The Hungarian Central Bank and its head, György Matolcsy, were embroiled in a large-scale funding scandal during the year. Although Matolcsy was connected to at least three separate cases raising the suspicion of serious corruption, there were no political consequences. Similarly, Antal Rogán, head of the prime minister's cabinet, suffered no political ramifications despite his central role in the controversial Hungarian Residency Bond Program and numerous corruption accusations. The lack of prosecutions shows the effective political control and selective, biased functioning of the police and prosecutor's office – an essential prerequisite of state-led corruption in Hungary.

With the governing parties' ever-growing media dominance, an increasingly uneven political playing field, and the misuse of public resources for political and private purposes, Hungary's political system inches further away from constitutional and liberal democracies and closer toward hybrid regimes in the region.

Outlook for 2017: The governing coalition Fidesz-KDNP will be preparing for the 2018 parliamentary elections and will likely amplify its hostile rhetoric during the run-up. The regime's foreign policy isolation is expected to gradually melt away if right-wing national populism continues its triumphal march throughout the continent. With the government's media dominance and economic advantage as a consequence of its abuse of public funds, the Fidesz-KDNP alliance might continue governing essentially uncontested, even in the long term. However, considering that the regime has been growing out of touch with large segments of the population, and its survival depends on constantly dominating the political agenda, its stability might come under threat in the face of fast-emerging, challenging events.

National Democratic Governance:

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  • In its seventh consecutive year, support for the governing coalition of Fidesz-Hungarian Civic Union (Fidesz) and its subordinate partner, Christian Democratic People's Party (KDNP), remained strong. While the coalition's popularity declined between late 2015 and early 2016 as a result of demonstrations linked to social issues, it picked up quickly once the government latched onto the refugee crisis as its central topic in 2016. As of October, 32 percent of all voters and 54 percent of those certain to vote supported Fidesz-KDNP.[1]

  • By mid-2016, xenophobia and intolerance had become mainstream, turning into key features of Hungarian politics. Although the number of asylum seekers applying for refugee status sharply dropped from its peak in 2015,[2] Fidesz managed to dominate the political field with a fervent anti-immigration discourse for most of 2016. In October, a controversial referendum took place on the ability of the European Union (EU) to resettle migrants in Hungary without the Hungarian parliament's approval (see "Electoral Process"). According to EU law, asylum policy is set at the European, not member-state, level. The vote cost approximately HUF 13 billion ($44.1 million) to Hungarian taxpayers, about the same as the full cost of the Brexit campaign in the United Kingdom, a country six times the size of Hungary.[3]

  • Although the turnout in the referendum stayed below the 50 percent threshold necessary for its validity due to a successful opposition campaign, the government still decided to submit a constitutional amendment in parliament. The amendment would have enshrined in the constitution that "foreign population cannot be settled in Hungary."[4] The motion, however, failed after the radical right-wing party Jobbik and its members of parliament (MPs) voted against it.[5] In November, the Hungarian Constitutional Court nevertheless declared that issues that come under European competence should not infringe on the country's sovereignty – hence interpreting the law in line with the principles of the proposed amendment.[6]

  • In another referendum-related matter in February, private security guards linked to Fidesz blocked Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) politician István Nyakó from submitting a valid initiative on the Sunday shopping ban (see "Electoral Process"). This controversial incident led to widespread domestic disapproval, and in early April the Hungarian Supreme Court (Kúria) allowed Nyakó's question to be put to referendum, despite its formal invalidity. A few days later – facing the parallel burden of scandal and a potentially very popular plebiscite question – the government decided to abolish the shopping ban altogether. This was a significant defeat for KDNP, which originally proposed that shops be closed on Sundays.

  • Central bank head György Matolcsy's personal integrity suffered blows in 2016. In September, Népszabadság, the country's most-read political daily, revealed that Matolcsy was having an affair with someone and had also employed her at the bank.[7] The daily was unexpectedly sold a few weeks later. In October, investigative journalists uncovered that Matolcsy lives in a luxury apartment owned by Mihály Patai, head of the Hungarian banking association and director of UniCreditBank Hungary.[8]

  • According to an investigation published in October by the weekly Magyar Narancs, Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's son-in-law, István Tiborcz, met with a fugitive Saudi businessman, Ghaith Pharaon, on several occasions.[9] Pharaon was charged with fraud and supporting terrorism and has been wanted by the FBI and Interpol since 1991. Although the case raised serious concerns and was discussed in the parliament, the relevant investigative authorities took no actions in 2016, underscoring the selective, biased functioning of the police and prosecutor's office and political control at the highest levels.

  • The government took an isolationist and nationalist stance on both the European and international level. Hungary, together with other countries in the Visegrád group, continued opposing and undermining the Europe-wide refugee quota system during the year, hindering the adoption of a comprehensive European solution to the crisis.[10]

Electoral Process:

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1.751.751.751.752.252.252.252.752.753.00

  • Problematic legal provisions from the 2014 elections – including changes in allocation of excess votes, claims of gerrymandering, and discrimination against out-of-country voters – remained in force in 2016.[11] According to the 2011 Law on the Election of Members of Parliament, the Hungarian National Assembly has 199 seats, out of which 133 are necessary to pass constitutional amendments.[12] When Fidesz-KDNP won the general elections in 2014, it received exactly 133 seats. Two of these were lost in 2015, ending the coalition's supermajority and its legislative power to change the constitution on its own.

  • Two referendums dominated the agenda in 2016. In an unprecedented development in Hungary's post-transition history, a dozen private security guards blocked István Nyakó of the opposition MSZP from being the first to submit an initiative to abolish the Sunday shopping ban on 23 February.[13] The incident took place in the hall of the National Election Office (NVI), and the security guards' presence allowed another person to submit her initiative first. According to law, NVI is required to accept only the first referendum initiative submitted on a particular topic. The media later revealed that all of the guards present had criminal records and were identified as employees of Fradi Security. The company provides services to Ferencvarosi Torna Club (FTC), Hungary's most popular soccer club, chaired by Gábor Kubatov, Fidesz's vice-chairman and party director.[14] The governing party denied any involvement in the scandal.[15]

  • On 24 February, a day after the incident at NVI, Prime Minister Orbán announced the launch of a referendum on refugee resettlement quotas.[16] The timing of the announcement prompted speculation that the government simply aimed to drown out one plebiscite with another. The question put to referendum asked, "Do you want to allow the European Union to mandate the resettlement of non-Hungarian citizens to Hungary without the approval of the parliament?" Despite widespread agreement among experts[17] that the question as formulated was not only leading but also unconstitutional – since it addressed an issue falling under EU-, not national-level, decision-making – both the Kúria and the Constitutional Court[18] allowed it to go forward, clearly demonstrating a worrying degree of political influence.[19] The question also likely violated the constitutional requirement that existing international legal obligations cannot be overwritten by referendum.[20]

  • Following an expensive and misleading campaign, the referendum held on 2 October failed to pass the 50-percent validity threshold. While an overwhelming 98 percent supported the government's position, the turnout of 44.04 percent remained below expectations. The low turnout was due to a joint push by the opposition and civil society to boycott the referendum and resulted in a significant number of invalid votes (6.17 percent of all votes). Despite the outcome, the government submitted an amendment to the constitution, arguing there was a need to "comply with the will of the 98 percent."[21] This move further underlined the referendum's unconstitutional character as, according to Article 8 of the Hungarian Basic Law, constitutional amendments should not be put to referendum.

  • In April, the Constitutional Court ruled that the electoral laws discriminating against out-of-country voters are constitutional.[22] While the court upheld an intensely criticized part of the Hungarian electoral law, the judgment complied with the 2015 decision of the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) in the case of Vámos and others v. Hungary.[23] In that decision, the ECtHR argued that having more-demanding voting requirements for expatriates is not discriminatory since they cast ballots both for candidates in electoral districts and for party lists – unlike out-of-country voters without a permanent address, who only vote for party lists.

Civil Society:

2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
1.501.751.752.002.002.252.252.502.502.75

  • Following a relatively calm year, relations between the government and civil society worsened significantly in 2016. The straightforward, often political declarations of major NGOs calling for a boycott of the refugee quota referendum resulted in heightened government and public attention, especially online.[24] Following its 2015 billboard campaign focusing on the refugee crisis, the satirical "Two-tailed Dog Party" (MKKP) organized the most significant counter-campaign, even outpacing parliamentary opposition parties. During 2016, the MKKP collected 34.5 million forints ($117,000) in donations, and placed 400 billboards all over the country. The joke party also published a complete financial report after the campaign, showing that the government had spent about 300 times more than MKKP.[25]

  • Government rhetoric toward NGOs grew increasingly intimidating following the refugee quota referendum. In October, Szilárd Németh, vice-chair of both Fidesz and the parliament's National Security Committee, suggested that NGOs receiving financial support from Open Society Foundations, established by the liberal Hungarian-American philanthropist George Soros, should go through national security screening.[26] Earlier, in June, the Eötvös Károly Institute (EKINT), a think tank specializing in constitutional law and fundamental rights and led by the former ombudsperson László Majtényi, reported that its office had likely been bugged.[27] After contradictory forensic analyses, police stated the device found in EKINT's office was not a recording device.[28] Other NGOs critical of the government talked about similar experiences.[29] A lawyer of the Hungarian Civil Liberties Union (TASZ) was allegedly wiretapped while calling a Hungarian member of the European Parliament, and the Hungarian Bar Association also started an internal investigation with regard to the illegal wiretapping of attorneys.[30] While it seems that the aim of the more or less covert surveillance was not information gathering but intimidation, it is unclear at this point whether these tasks were outsourced to private companies or conducted by the security services themselves.

  • Employees of private security roughed up environmental activists on several occasions during demonstrations against construction in a Budapest city park during the summer.[31] Security staff also prevented protesters from accessing some areas of officially approved, fully legal protests. On several occasions, police failed to intervene and investigate physical assault by private security despite the existence of video recordings that support the accusations.[32]

  • There were numerous protests by teachers and healthcare employees throughout the year, and a fairly organized movement grew out of these demonstrations. Government-friendly media ran a smear campaign against some of the movement's leaders, including a well-known activist leading the teacher protests.[33]

  • Lack of funding remained a significant problem for the civil sector. Representing an immense loss for minority rights and civil society in general, four of the most relevant Roma advocacy NGOs closed down or cut back on their activities during the year as donors pulled out from Hungary.[34] The closing of Chances for Children Foundation (CFCF), Romaversitas, Roma Media Center, and the Advocacy Bureau for National and Ethnic Minority Rights (NEKI) left a serious gap in the field of Roma rights advocacy, especially at a time when school segregation is again on the rise (see "Local Democratic Governance").[35]

Independent Media:

2008200920102011201220132014201520162017
2.502.502.753.253.503.503.503.753.754.25

  • The government-led takeover of the media market, ongoing since 2011, reached previously unseen levels in 2016. With public media, the second-largest private TV channel, and several online and print outlets (including at least eight regional newspapers) in the hands of government allies, progovernment media is dominating the market. Although there are several opposition outlets, their circulation and geographical coverage are often limited, like Klubrádió that broadcasts only in the Budapest area.[36] The biggest loser of the past few years, however, has been independent media. Between the endless resources of progovernment outlets and the last bastions of the opposition, the space for unbiased offline journalism has greatly diminished.[37]

  • The private channel TV2 – which Film Commissioner András Vajna acquired at the end of 2015 with a loan from a state-owned bank – took on a seriously strong progovernment bent in 2016. The channel's political and news programs turned into straightforward political propaganda and played a significant role in the refugee quota referendum campaign.[38] The channel had also become a tool in smear campaigns against political enemies, including popular oppositional politicians like Péter Juhász[39] and oligarchs who have fallen out of favor with the government. The other popular private channel, RTL Klub, has been largely avoiding politically sensitive issues following a compromise reached with the government in March 2015. Whereas the channel's coverage of the refugee quota referendum was more or less balanced,[40] it stopped publishing the critical investigative reports that characterized its coverage in 2014 and early 2015.

  • The public television's biased performance in the refugee quota referendum campaign was especially striking. According to research conducted by Mérték Media Monitoring and Democracy Reporting International (DRI), the news-only channel M1 allotted 42 percent of its programing to the referendum, and 95 percent of that airtime supported the government's position.[41] This clearly went against the requirement for neutral and balanced broadcasting as stipulated in the country's media laws.[42]

  • With progovernment figures acquiring new outlets, the media market underwent a serious shake-up in 2016. In August, Mediaworks Hungary, a company controlled by Vienna Capital Partners (VCP) and its owner Heinrich Pecina, successfully bought Pannon Lapok Társasága (PLT),[43] the publisher of four regional dailies and several other publications. With this acquisition, Mediaworks became a key player in the market, publishing eight regional papers.[44] While it had been an open secret since August that investors close to the government were interested in the company,[45] some speculated that its sale was brought forward by the fact that Pecina had been on trial before an Austrian court, potentially resulting in large fines.[46] In October, Pecina sold Mediaworks to Opimus Press, a company linked to the oligarch Lőrinc Mészáros, the mayor of Prime Minister Orbán's hometown.[47]

  • The most controversial part of the acquisition process – and a watershed moment for Hungarian media – was the shutdown of Népszabadság, Hungary's leading print daily and a traditionally left-wing newspaper.[48] The paper was suspended on 8 October, two weeks before the sale, and the staff was locked out of their emails and offices. Its website, nol.hu, was also taken down. Although Mediaworks cited solely financial reasons, several arguments point toward political interference, including the fact that Népszabadság had hired 10 new journalists right before the suspension and that the newspaper had started to recover financially and show moderate profitability.[49] The shutdown was followed by significant protests and a rare display of solidarity from the journalistic community.

  • While online news portals and blogs have created a vibrant environment for political debate and analysis, acquisitions in the online market have also raised concerns. The biggest online news site, Origo.hu, was sold to New Wave Media (NWM) in December 2015, following the politically motivated firing of its editor-in-chief in 2014.[50] Since then, Origo has adopted a government-friendly tone.[51] In the first half of the year, NWM's sister company, New Wave Production, was implicated in the MNB scandal (see "Corruption") as investigative articles revealed that the online news site VS.hu, owned by NWM, had received approximately HUF 500 million ($1.7 million) from central bank foundations. Later in the year, the staffs of both Origo and VS.hu were reorganized and several journalists left.[52] The year ended with worries that the now biggest independent site, Index.hu, might also fall victim to a takeover. Its owner, Zoltán Spéder, was subject to a smear campaign after an apparent falling-out with the government.[53]

Local Democratic Governance:

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  • Local governments enjoyed a high level of political independence in Hungary after 1989. Recent steps to centralize public administration and education, however, have led to serious confusion around local governments' competencies and undermined their performance. Almost four years after the introduction of the 2013 public administration reform, the distribution of responsibilities between district and municipal offices is still not clear, and powers continue to be taken away from municipal governments. This process continued in 2016, and the case backlog of the central government's district offices has grown significantly.

  • Starting 1 January 2017, the maintenance of all public primary schools will be centralized and nationalized under the reorganized Klebelsberg Institution Maintenance Center (KLIK), which will be solely responsible for the supply of teaching materials as well as operation of more than 5,100 primary schools in the country. This means, first and foremost, the nationalization of more than 2,800 primary schools still maintained by municipal self-governments, and the establishment of 59 school districts at an interim management level.[54] Although the performance of KLIK and the state maintenance of primary schools have been problematic,[55] the government decided to further increase the centralization in primary education. According to Jenő Schmidt, chairman of the Hungarian Association of Municipal Self-Governments (TÖOSZ), the reform will lead to serious underfinancing and mismanagement in the education system, since the central executive bodies can neither estimate nor supply the same support and services for schools as was provided by local municipalities.[56]

  • To counteract this centralization, the government promised more autonomy for schools. According to government sources, school directors will have more influence on the planning of school budgets, and they will be free to exercise their employer rights again.[57] But after the start of the school year, professional organizations expressed doubts about the increase in autonomy.[58]

  • In May, the European Commission launched an infringement procedure against Hungary due to school segregation.[59] According to the commission, the widespread segregation of Romany children constitutes a breach of EU regulations.[60] This renewed, steady growth of segregation is well documented by the Hungarian Academy of Sciences,[61] the European Commission's own report,[62] and various Hungarian NGOs active in the field.[63] A further alarming trend shows that increasing numbers of Romany children are educated in church schools in segregated conditions. A loophole in Hungarian legislation allows for segregation if it serves the purpose of "Roma evangelization."[64]

  • Hungarian courts have been divided on segregation, which contributes to a growing legal uncertainty. As a positive example, the Pécs Regional Court of Appeal ordered the closure of a primary school in Kaposvár in October 2016 following a lawsuit filed by CFCF. This was the first-ever judicial decision in Hungary that ordered the closure of a segregated school.[65] Earlier in July, the Constitutional Court rejected a separate ethnic segregation lawsuit by CFCF as inadmissible. Three dissenting judges contested the majority decision in the case, arguing that the court failed to address the potential violation of fundamental rights in the complaint.[66]

Judicial Framework and Independence:

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  • Overall, Hungary's court system, especially the lower courts, can be considered mostly independent, whereas Constitutional Court judgments in politically significant cases have often shown a remarkable bias towards the government and its alleged political interests. Out of the court's 15 justices, 11 were unilaterally nominated by the governing parties, and 4 posts were vacant due to a lack of the required two-thirds majority in parliament.[67] In November 2016, Fidesz and the opposition party LMP reached an agreement, and the parliament appointed four new justices and a new court president, Tamás Sulyok.[68]

  • There were several politically sensitive cases in 2016. In two decisions, the Constitutional Court went against the government's will and struck down laws that would have significantly narrowed the scope of publicly accessible information. In March, the court overruled the Budapest Regional Court of Appeals and declared that preparatory documents are not exempt by default from public information requests.[69] Significantly, this ruling now makes it impossible to cover up the misuse of public funds by sham consulting contracts, a rather frequent practice between public institutions and think tanks affiliated with Fidesz. Such contracts were often classified as preparatory documents, therefore not accessible to the public.[70] In April, the court ruled that "money does not lose its public character" by being transferred to foundations set up by the central bank, and that the same transparency requirements continue to apply to it as money used by the bank itself (see "Corruption").[71] By going against the government in such an important case, the court demonstrated its limited independence. In a separate decision, however, the court ruled that a law exempting the contracts of the Hungarian Post from public information requests does not violate the constitution or the principle of the prohibition of retroactivity.[72] In both the central bank and the Post case, President János Áder initiated the constitutional review.

  • The number of applications to the European Court of Human Rights (ECtHR) has grown dramatically in the past 7 years, from 425 applications in 2008 (0.85 percent of all ECtHR applications) to 5,569 in 2016 (10.41 percent).[73] These figures show ECtHR's growing importance with regard to human rights protection in Hungary and point to a growing dissatisfaction with the rule of law at home.

  • In spite of (or perhaps due to) this growing relevance, the government failed to make the selection of ECtHR's new Hungarian judge sufficiently transparent.[74] Following protests by dozens of advocacy NGOs, the Ministry of Justice reopened the application process in September 2016,[75] but the procedure itself remained opaque.[76] In October, two out of the three judges nominated by the government were the same as on the previous shortlist, prompting doubts about the independence of the process.[77]

  • In June, the government lost in a court case on surveillance in front of the ECtHR. According to the court's ruling, wiretapping and surveillance without the permission of an independent judge represent a clear violation of the European Convention of Human Rights.[78] Before the decision, the Counterterrorism Center (TEK), an arm of the police set up with wide-ranging powers in 2010 and headed by the Ministry of Interior, was able to conduct wiretapping without first securing a judicial warrant. The plaintiff in the case, Eötvös Károly Institute (EKINT), welcomed the decision and called for amending the law on surveillance. The judgment's implementation, however, will be hard to monitor given that the parliament's National Security Committee does not function as an effective and independent platform for supervising intelligence-service activities.

  • In June 2016, the government, with support from Jobbik, adopted the sixth constitutional amendment introducing a new type of special legal order called "terrorism state of emergency," which would mean the introduction of extraordinary measures for up to 15 days without parliamentary approval.[79] The amendment also prompted legal changes significantly extending online surveillance. That same month, the parliament amended the law on electronic commercial services and IT services. According to the changes, providers offering encrypted communication services, if requested, shall grant the intelligence services access to the content of communications. The scope of the law includes service providers based outside Hungary and extends the period for which metadata should be preserved to one year. [80] According to the Hungarian Civil Liberties Union (TASZ), the vaguely worded and sweeping nature of the law offers an opportunity for the surveillance of any Hungarian citizen.[81]

Corruption:

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  • While the basic patterns of corruption remained largely the same as in previous years, the key players – the regime's most-favored oligarchs – changed significantly in 2016. These figures cultivate close personal relationships with Prime Minister Orbán, a fact that underlines the "reverse state capture" happening in Hungary, where politics and a strong state set up and coordinate corruption networks. While low-level corruption is prosecuted, politically organized high-level corruption has become a key feature of the regime. Similar to previous years, corruption indicators by international organizations highlight this development and show a constant level of opaque policymaking and misuse of public funds.[82] In September, the European Commission suspended the disbursement of several cohesion funds, stressing the lack of transparency and proliferation of irregularities in management of the European structural funds.[83]

  • According to the annual report of the Public Procurement Office, the total value of public procurement reached 5.7 percent of Hungarian GDP.[84] As shown by EU and Transparency International (TI) data, a significant share of these tenders have only one bidder,[85] and some 70 percent of public procurement involves corruption, with costs rising by up to 25 percent.[86] The financial damage caused by corruption could account for up to 1 percent of Hungary's GDP.

  • The analysis of TI-Hungary and Democracy Reporting International clearly shows that the 2015 falling-out between the oligarch Lajos Simicska and Prime Minister Orbán had a significant effect on public procurement.[87] New loyal oligarchs filled in this gap, including Orbán's son-in-law, István Tiborcz; his close ally and mayor of his hometown, Lőrinc Mészáros; and a personal friend, István Garancsi. During 2015, these individuals were awarded public procurement contracts valued around 85 billion forints ($315 million), representing more than 4 percent of the total value of public procurements in Hungary.[88] Given that Simicska's companies were unable to win a single tender in 2016, even as members of international consortiums, the share won by Tiborcz, Mészáros, and Garancsi may be even higher. According to the RTL Klub, Lőrinc Mészáros alone won public procurement tenders in the value of HUF 225 Billion ($ 786.1 million) in 2016.[89]

  • The Hungarian Central Bank (MNB) was hit by several scandals during the year. Between 2013 and 2016, the bank channeled 260 billion forints ($900 million, close to 1 percent of the annual Hungarian GDP) into 6 foundations established by MNB itself, while admitting to a profit of only a couple billion forints in its annual reports.[90] In court hearings in 2015, MNB head György Matolcsy claimed that the foundations are not obliged to comply with transparency criteria applying to public bodies, but the Constitutional Court ruled the opposite in April 2016.[91] The documents published afterwards revealed what appears to be public procurement fraud,[92] such as investing in high-value real estate and spending a remarkable amount of public money in a way that is incompatible with MNB's legal obligations. Business leaders and their companies linked to Matolcsy, including his uncle, also received a significant share.[93] Although the prosecutor's office launched an investigation in June, the foundations only received an 84-million-forint ($290,000) fine – paid by Hungarian taxpayers – for "public procurement irregularities."[94] There were no political or legal consequences for individuals involved in the scandal.

  • Allegations that the Hungarian Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT) has been involved in corruption schemes underscore the state-led nature of high-level graft. The network of National Trading Houses (MNKH), a state-owned company founded in 2012 to promote trade as well as assist Hungarian SMEs in accessing emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, was accused of corrupt dealings in 2016.[95] The structure and functioning of the MNKH network is extremely opaque, and selection of the operating companies is often politically motivated. Several well-known oligarchs have links to these entities, including István Tiborcz, or Csaba Tarsoly, former head of the venture capital fund Questor, accused of fraud, money laundering, and other crimes.[96] The official losses of MNKH reached 6 billion forints ($22 million) in 2015, qualifying it as an expensive and ineffective tool – but a lucrative opportunity for cronies.[97]

  • Another example of suspected "outsourced" corruption is connected with the so-called Hungarian Residency Bond Program, which offers citizenship in exchange for a significant investment.[98] Although the program appears to be similar to its European counterparts, its conditions are conspicuously unfavorable to the Hungarian state,[99] and firms acting as intermediary could have pocketed a profit of up to 100 billion forints ($339.3 million) since its start in 2012.[100] The program was the idea of Antal Rogán, head of the prime minister's cabinet, who had earlier defended the contracting of offshore companies, some of which overlap with those operating trading houses.[101] The program raised national security concerns, given that those who invest are able to move freely in the EU's passport-free Schengen area. In October, Jobbik set the program's abolishment as a condition of its support for the constitutional ban on refugee quotas, and at year's end, the government announced it would stop issuing bonds in 2017.[102]

  • High-level corruption remains unpunished in Hungary. Except for the MNB scandal, no official investigation took place in the above-mentioned cases. Lower-level corruption is sometimes prosecuted. An arrest was made in the case of a low-ranking Fidesz politician, Roland Mengyi, alias "Lord Voldemort," in August 2016. Mengyi had allegedly asked for bribes in exchange for positive decisions related to EU grants. His arrest was prompted by investigative articles.[103]

  • Russian connections in several nontransparent and suspicious business deals remained an issue in 2016. In November, the European Commission suspended its infringement procedure investigating the Paks nuclear power plant project's compatibility with European public procurement rules. Although a separate investigation was ongoing at year's end,[104] the European Commission was expected to green-light the project despite previous concerns.[105] A 2015 public tender for upgrading train cars on Budapest's subway line 3, a 69-billion-forint ($234 million) deal with a Russian contractor,[106] was revealed as fraudulent in 2016.[107] Although the public procurement called for the design of new train cars, the Russian company delivered unused cars already in their stock. The fraud remained uninvestigated.

AUTHOR: DANIEL HEGEDÜS

Daniel Hegedüs is visiting lecturer at the Institute for East European Studies, Free University Berlin and at the Eötvös Loránd University Budapest.


Notes:

1 TÁRKI Választáskutatás [TÁRKI Electoral Research], http://www.tarki.hu/hu/research/elect/index.html, http://www.tarki.hu/hu/research/elect/gppref_table_02.html, http://www.tarki.hu/hu/research/elect/gppref_table_01.html

2 In the third quarter of 2015 109,200 asylum seekers were registered in Hungary, while in the first quarter of 2016 only 7,200, in the second quarter 15,300, in the third quarter 4386, and in the fourt quarter 2555. Statisztikai Tükör, Központi Statisztikai Hivatal [Statistical Mirror, Hungarian Central Statistical Office], 25. July 2016, http://www.ksh.hu/docs/hun/xftp/stattukor/menekult15.pdf and Magyar menekültügy a számok tükrében, Magyar Helsinki Bizottság [Statistical Review of the Hungarian Asylum Policy, Hungarian Helsinki Committee], 1. January 2017, http://www.helsinki.hu/wp-content/uploads/Magyar-menekultugy-a-szamok-t…

3 Elárulta végre a kormány, mennyibe került a kvótakampány [The government finally reveals the true costs of the EU quota referendum campaign], Index.hu, 4. October 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/10/04/elarulta_vegre_a_kormany_mennyibe_kerult_a_kvotakampany/; Többe került a kvótakampány, mint amit a britek összesen költöttek a Brexit-kampányban [The EU quota referendum turns out to be more expensive than all the money the brits spent in the Brexit-campaign], Így írnánk mi, 28. September 2016, https://igyirnankmi.atlatszo.hu/2016/09/28/tobbe-kerul-a-kvotakampany-mint-amennyit-a-britek-osszesen-koltottek-a-brexit-kampanyban/

4 Magyarország Alaptörvényének hetedik módosítása [Seventh Amendment of the Fundamental Law of Hungary], 10. October 2016, http://www.parlament.hu/irom40/12458/12458.pdf

5 Leszavazták Orbán Viktor alkotmánymódosítását [Orbán's basic law amendment failed], Index.hu, 8. November 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/11/08/szavazas_az_alkotmanymodositasrol/

6 X/3327/2015 (XI. 30) AB határozat az Alaptörvénynek a többi tagállammal közös, az Európai Unió intézményei útján történő hatáskörgyakorlást lehetővé tevő rendelkezéseinek értelmezéséről [Constitutional Court decision X/3327/2015 (XI. 30.) on the interpretation of the Basic Law's regulation regarding the common exercise of EU Member States' sovereignty by the European Union's institutions], 30. November 2016, http://www.alkotmanybirosag.hu/download.php?h=1616

7 Matolcsy barátnője jobban keresett a jegybanknál titkárnőként, mintha főosztályvezető lett volna [Matolcsy's partner earned better as secretary by the Central Bank than a head of department would have done], 444.hu, 12. September 2016, http://444.hu/2016/09/12/matolcsy-baratnoje-jobban-keresett-jegybanknal-titkkarnokent-mintha-foosztalyvezeto-lett-volna

8 Patai luxuslakását használja Matolcsy [Matolcsy uses the luxury apartment of Patai], Portfolio.hu, 6. October 2016, http://www.portfolio.hu/finanszirozas/bankok/patai_luxuslakasat_hasznalja_matolcsy.238312.html

9 A szaúdi szomszéd – Ghaith Pharaon élete és magyarországi üzletei [The neighbor from Saudi-Arabia – The life and Hungarian business connections of Ghaith Pharaon], Magyar Narancs, 20 October 2016, http://magyarnarancs.hu/belpol/a-szaudi-szomszed-101257

10 EU quota plan forced through against eastern European states' wishes, The Telegraph, September 23, 2015, http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/11883024/Europe-ministers-agree-relocation-of-120000-refugees-by-large-majority.html

11 For details, see last year's report: https://freedomhouse.org/report/nations-transit/2015/hungary

12 Nemzeti Választási Iroda [National Election Office], "Act CCIII of 2011 On the Elections of Members of Parliament," http://www.venice.coe.int/webforms/documents/default.aspx?pdffile=CDL-REF(2014)037-e.

13 Így hekkelték meg a kopaszok az MSZP népszavazást [Skinheads crowd out the Socialist referendum initiative], HVG.hu, 23. February 2016, http://hvg.hu/itthon/20160223_kopaszok_hekkeltek_meg_az_mszp_nepszavaza…

14 Kubatov Gábor fradista magánhadseregének emberei is ott voltak a választási irodánál [Security guards of Gábor Kubatov's private army have been also there by the election commission], 444.hu, 23. February 2016, http://444.hu/2016/02/23/kubatov-gabor-fradista-maganhadseregenek-emberei-is-voltak-ott-a-valasztasi-irodanal

15 Skinheadek és a Nemzeti Választási Iroda [Skinheads at the National Election Office], 888.hu, 23 February 2016, https://888.hu/article-skinheadek-es-a-nemzeti-valasztasi-iroda

16 Orbán: Népszavazás less a betelepítési kvótáról , MNO.hu. 24. February 2016, http://mno.hu/belfold/orban-nepszavazas-lesz-a-betelepitesi-kvotarol-1330246

17 A kormány kvótaügyi népszavazási kérdése alkotmányellenes, nem tartozik az Országgyűlés hatáskörébe és nem felel meg az egyértelműség követelményének [The government's EU refugee quota referendum initiative is unconstitutional; does not belong to the Parliament's field of competence and does not comply with the constitutional requirement of clarity], EKINT.hu, 4. May 2016, http://www.ekint.org/alkotmanyossag/2016-05-04/nepszavazasra-alkalmatlan-kerdesrol-nepszavazhatunk

18 Kúria Knk.IV.37.222/2016/9 sz. végzése a Nemzeti Választási Bizottság 14/2016. NVB határozatának helybenhagyásáról [Kuria decision Knk.IV.37.222/2016/9 sanctioning the National Election Committee decision 14/2016], 3. May 2016, http://net.jogtar.hu/jr/gen/hjegy_doc.cgi?docid=A16K0621.KUR&timeshift=fffffff4&txtreferer=00000001.TXT; 3130/2016 (VI. 29.) AB végzés, [Constitutional Court decision 3130/2016], 29. June 2016, http://public.mkab.hu/dev/dontesek.nsf/0/61A1C8A5EF845C23C1257FB800586047?OpenDocument; 12/2016 (VI. 29.) AB határozat, [Constitutional Court judgement 12/2016], 29. June 2016, http://public.mkab.hu/dev/dontesek.nsf/0/DF79C123ADA698DFC1257FBD00361ABA?OpenDocument; 3150/2016 (VII. 22.) AB végzés, [Constitutional Court decision 3150/2016], 22. July 2016, http://public.mkab.hu/dev/dontesek.nsf/0/C410722866921CC9C1257FE90058695B?OpenDocument; 3151/2016 (VII. 22.) AB végzés, [Constitutional Court decision 3151/2016], 22. July 2016, http://public.mkab.hu/dev/dontesek.nsf/0/628A002BA47B9404C1257FE600585769?OpenDocument

19

20 The Fundamental Law of Hungary, Article 8 – National Referendums

"(2) National referendums may be held about any matter falling within the functions and powers of the National Assembly.

(3) No national referendum may be held on: ... d) any obligation arising from international treaties;"

The referendum question was formulated as following: "Do you want to allow the European Union to mandate the resettlement of non-Hungarian citizens to Hungary without the approval of the National Assembly?"

21 Results of the National Referendum, National Election Office, 2. October 2016, http://valasztas.hu//en/ref2016/index.html

22 3086/2016 (IV. 26.) AB határozat, [Constitutional Court decision 3086/2016], 26. April 2016, http://www.alkotmanybirosag.hu/letoltesek/abk_2016_09_alairt.pdf

23 Vámos and Others v. Hungary (48145/14), 17. February 2015, http://hudoc.echr.coe.int/eng?i=001-153061

24 Keményebb a civilek muszklija, mint a balos pártok karizmája [The civil opposition is more powerful, than the political left], 24.hu, 1. October 2016, http://24.hu/belfold/2016/10/01/kemenyebb-a-civilek-muszklija-mint-a-balos-partok-karizmaja/ and 22 civil szervezet kéri a polgároktól, szavazzanak événytelenül vagy bojkottálják a népszavazást [22 NGOs calling for boycott or casting invalid ballot at the quota referendum], Kettős Mérce.hu, 14. September 2016, http://kettosmerce.blog.hu/2016/09/14/22_civil_szervezet_keri_a_polgaroktol_szavazzanak_ervenytelenul_vagy_bojkottaljak_a_nepszavazast

25 2016-os Tudta? kampány elszámolás [Financial settlement of the 2016 "Did You Know?" campaign], Kétfarkú Kutya Párt, 24. October 2016, http://ketfarkukutya.com/?p=2158 and A kormány után a Kétfakú Kutya Párt költ legtöbbet a népszavazási kampányra [Following the government, the Two-tailed Dog Party has the second highest spending in the quota referendum campaign] Index.hu, 29. August 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/08/29/az_ellenzeki_partok_kozul_a_ketfarku_kutyapart_kolt_legtobbet_nepszavazasos_kampanyra/

26 Bosszúvágy: Orbánék felelőst keresnek a népszavazási kudarcért [Desire for revenge: looking for scapegoats in the aftermath of the referendum failure], HVG.hu, 8. October 2016, http://hvg.hu/itthon/201641__sorosozas__atvilagitas__retorziok__bunbakkepzok

27 Lehallgató készüléket találtak az Eötvös Károly Intézet irodájában [Wiretapper found in the bureau of Eötvös Károly Institute], 444.hu, 8. June 2016, http://444.hu/2016/06/08/lehallgato-keszueleket-talaltak-az-eoetvoes-karoly-intezet-irodajaban

28 Nem poloskát találtak az Eötvös Károly Intézetben, de hogy mit, nem tudni [Not a wiretapper was found in the Eötvös Károly Institute, but the sort of the device is still unknown], Mandiner.hu, 30. August 2016,http://mandiner.hu/cikk/20160830_nem_poloskat_talaltak_az_eotvos_karoly_intezetben_de_hogy_mit_nem_tudni

29 Author interviews with NGO members, September-October 2016. Although the sample of these organizations might be not representative, a pattern is clearly identifiable.

30 Egy ügyvédet lehallgattak, a többiek csak a jeleit észlelték [An attorney wiretapped, many having the same suspect], Index.hu, 21. April 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/04/21/egy_ugyvedi_iroda_lehallgatasa_miatt…

31 Mióta intézi politikai vitáit verőlegények útján a kormány? [Since when uses the government security guards to solve political debates?], Kettős Mérce.hu, 27. June 2016, http://kettosmerce.blog.hu/2016/06/27/miota_intezi_politikai_vitait_verolegenyek_utjan_a_kormany

32 A rendőrség felfüggesztette a nyomozást a Gulyás Márton ujját törő verőember ügyében [Investigation suspended in the security guard's case breaking the finger of Márton Gulyás], 444.hu, 23. September 2016,http://kettosmerce.blog.hu/2016/06/27/miota_intezi_politikai_vitait_verolegenyek_utjan_a_kormany and a TV2 videóján arról beszéltek a biztonsági emberek, hogy Gulyás Márton megsebesítette őket, pedig a közelben sem volt [TV2 accuses Márton Gulyás to injure security guards, although he has not been even there], 444.hu, 15. July 2016, http://444.hu/2016/07/15/a-tv2-videojan-arrol-beszeltek-a-biztonsagi-emberek-hogy-gulyas-marton-megsebesitette-oket-csakhogy-az-index-szerint-a-kozelben-sem-volt-akkor

33 Pukli István vallomása [Mr. Pukli's Confession], Magyar Idők, 1. March 2016, http://magyaridok.hu/belfold/pukli-istvan-vallomasa-424546/ and Zuschlag a TV2-n próbálta mocsárba rántani Pukli Istvánt [Zuschlag's mud-slinging against Pukli on TV2], HVG.hu, 29. February 2016,http://hvg.hu/itthon/20160229_Zuschlag_a_TV2n_probalta_a_mocsarba_rantani_Pukli_Istvant

34 Bedobják a törülközőt a legfontosabb roma érdekvédők [The last days of the most prestigious Roma advocacy NGOs], Index.hu, 20. September 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/09/20/roma_jogvedelem_vege/ and Támogatás hiányában bezár a Roma Sajtóközpont [Roma Mediaa Center shut down due to lack of financial support], Népszava.hu, 20. September 2016, http://nepszava.hu/cikk/1106542-tamogatas-hianyaban-bezar-a-roma-sajtokozpont

35 EU: Commission probe must spell the end of Romani segregation in Hungarian schools, ERRC, 26. May 2016, http://www.errc.org/article/eu-commission-probe-must-spell-the-end-of-romani-segregation-in-hungarian-schools/4485

36 Klubrádió, the main oppositional radio station in Hungary lost all if its former frequencies on the Hungarian countryside since 2010, and nowadays is only able to broadcast in Budapest. URH-FM broadcasting frequencies in Hungary, http://www.frekvencia.hu/fmlist-hng.htm

37 A magyar médiarendszer problémái [Structural deficiencies of the Hungarian media landscape], Mérték Media Monitoring, http://mertek.eu/

38 Hungary's state-owned TV shows bias in EU refugee referendum, Democracy Reporting International, 2. October 2016, http://democracy-reporting.org/?p=2450

39 Luxusban él, de adományokat kér Juhász Péter [Despite living under luxurious circumstances Péter Juhász begs for donations], Tények.hu, 17. March 2016, http://tenyek.hu/politika/206324_luxusban-el-de-adomanyokat-ker-juhasz-peter.html and A Tények szerint Portik Tamás pénzeli és ugráltatja Juhász Péter [According to Tények (TV2), Tamás Portik supports and remote-controls Péter Juhász], 24.hu, 8. September 2016, http://24.hu/kozelet/2016/09/08/a-tenyek-szerint-portik-tamas-penzeli-es-ugraltatja-juhasz-petert/

40 Hungary's state-owned TV shows bias in EU refugee referendum, Democracy Reporting International, 2. October 2016, http://democracy-reporting.org/?p=2450

41 Hungary's state-owned TV shows bias in EU refugee referendum, Democracy Reporting International, 2. October 2016, http://democracy-reporting.org/?p=2450

42 Law Nr. 2010/CLXXXV. § 83. (1) m), http://net.jogtar.hu/jr/gen/hjegy_doc.cgi?docid=A1000185.TV

43 Pannon Lapok Társasága [Company of Pannnon Newspapers], http://www.plt.hu/

44 Engedélyezték a Pannon Lapok megvásárlását [Acquisition of Pannon Newspapers authorized], Origo.hu, 3. August 2016, http://www.origo.hu/gazdasag/20160803-pannon-lapok-tarsasaga-kiadoi-kft-media-uzlet-gvh-engedely-mediaworks-hungary-zrt.html

45 Kormányközelbe kerülhet a Népszabadság kiadója is [Publishing House of Népszabadság might come under government control], 444.hu, 30. August 2016, http://444.hu/2016/08/30/kormanykozelbe-kerulhet-a-nepszabadsag-kiadoja-is

46 Hypo Prozess wegen Fairness Opinion fortgesetzt [Hypo Bank trial due to fairness opinion continues], Salzburg 24.at, 7. November 2016, http://www.salzburg24.at/hypo-prozess-wegen-fairness-opinion-fortgesetzt/apa-1332891160

47 A Mésszáros Lőrinc-közeli Opimus megvette a Népszabadság kiadóját [Opimus related to Lőrinc Mészáros bought up the publisher of Népszabadság], Index.hu, 25. October 2016, http://index.hu/kultur/media/2016/10/25/a_meszaros_lorinc-kozeli_opimus_megvette_a_nepszabadsag_kiadojat/

48 Felfüggesztették a Népszabadság kiadását [The publishing of Népszabadság suspended], Index.hu, 8. October 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/10/08/felfuggesztettek_a_nepszabadsag_kiadasat/

49 A significant share of the debt mentioned in the official explanation was collected well before Mediaworks bought Népszabadság, what did not altered Pecina's decision on the acquisition that time. The newspaper's financial balance was appropriate during the past two years and showed a moderate profitability. During the summer 2016 the management decided about significant HR developments and hired ten new journalist to the editorial staff. The suspension of the journalists while paying their basic salary, the full closure of the newspaper's website, etc. all point out that financial consideration only plays a secondary role in the Népszabadság saga. Most circumstances, especially the fact that Mediaworks was handed out to Lőrinc Mészáros, underline the importance of the political factor behind the closure. Súlyos logikai buktatók a Népszabadság megszüntetése körül [Tremendous logical self-contradiction hallmark the shutdown of Népszabadság], Index.hu, 9. October 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/10/09/sulyos_logikai_buktatok_a_nepszabadsag_megszuntetese_korul/

50 Profiltisztítással indokolta a Telekom vezére az Origo eladását [Telekom CEO argued for Origo's selling with the need for clear profiling], 17. December 2016, http://www.origo.hu/itthon/20151217-profiltisztitassal-indokolt-a-telekom-vezere-az-origo-eladasat-a-vevo-new-wave-media-kft-a-vs.html

51 Az előtt írta meg az Origo, hogy balhé van Vona Gábor beszéde alatt, hogy Vona egyáltalán színpadra lépett volna [Origo wrote about scandal and brawl under the speech of Gábor Vona already before Vona entered the stage], 444.hu, 24. October. 2016, http://444.hu/2016/10/24/azelott-irta-meg-az-origo-hogy-balhe-van-vona-…

52 Az Origo teljes kultrovata lecserélődött [The full editorial staff of Origo's culture column changed], MNO.hu, 14. May 2016, http://mno.hu/media/az-origo-teljes-kultrovata-lecserelodott-1342326

53 Távozik Spéder fő embere az Index.hu Zrt. igazgatóságából [Spéder's right hand leaves Index.hu's board of directors], 444.hu, 3. November 2016, http://444.hu/2016/11/03/tavozik-speder-fo-embere-az-indexhu-zrt-igazgatosagabol

54 59 lett, maradhat? Itt a Klik átalakítása [59 school districts. The transformation of Klik], Eduline,hu, 11. June 2016, http://eduline.hu/kozoktatas/2016/6/11/59_lett_maradhat__Itt_a_Klik_atalakitasa_D9LZCW

55 See previous reports.

56 Iskolaállamosítás: még sok a nyitott kérdés [Nationalization of schools: many open question remained], Origo.hu, 18. May 2016, http://www.origo.hu/itthon/20160518-oktatas-klik-mukodtetes-alapitvanyi-iskola.html

57 Nem enged igazából a Klik – szabadabb az iskola? [Klik is not giving up its position – but are the schools really becoming more free?], Eduline.hu, 8. October 2016, http://eduline.hu/kozoktatas/2016/10/8/Nem_enged_igazabol_a_Klik__Szabadabb_az_isk_KIP60T

58 Az ígéretek ellenére nem adott sok szabadságot a Klik az iskoláknak [In spite of its promises, Klik did not offer too much autonomy for schools], Eduline.hu, 8. October 2016, http://eduline.hu/kozoktatas/2016/10/8/Az_igeretek_ellenere_nem_adott_sok_szabadsa_LYLJTP

59 EU: Commission probe must spell the end of Romani segregation in Hungarian schools, ERRC, 26. May 2016, http://www.errc.org/article/eu-commission-probe-must-spell-the-end-of-romani-segregation-in-hungarian-schools/4485

60 Council Directive 2000/43/EC of 29 June 2000 implementing the principle of equal treatment between persons irrespective of racial or ethnic origin

61 Kertesi, Gábor & Kézdi, Gábor, A roma fiatalok esélyei és az iskolarendszer egyenlőtlenségei [Chances and opportunities of Roma youngsters and school system inequalities], BWP – 2016/3, http://mta.hu/data/dokumentumok/egyeb_dokumentumok/2016/BWP1603%20KG%20KG.pdf

62 Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions – Assessing the implementation of the EU Framework for National Roma Integration Strategies and the Council Recommendation on effective Roma integration measures in the Member States – 2016 {COM(2016) 424 final}, 27. June 2016, http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/HTML/?uri=CELEX:52016SC0209&from=EN

63 Ez buktathatta le a kormányt Brüsszel előtt: az eljárás sem szünteti meg a szegregációt [This busted the government's position in Brussel, but the infringement will not terminate segregation either], Eduline..hu, 30. May 2016,http://eduline.hu/kozoktatas/2016/5/30/Szegregacio_kotelezettsegszegesi_eljaras_CF_KC8OY2

64 Judgement of the Curia Pfv.IV.20.241/2015/4. on April 22, 2015, http://ukp.birosag.hu/portal-frontend/stream/birosagKod/0001/hatarozatA… and Kúria: Nincs szegregáció a nyíregyházi Huszár-telepen , HVG.hu, April 22. 2015, http://hvg.hu/itthon/20150422_Kuria_Nincs_szegregacio_a_nyiregyhazi_Hus

65 Először zárnak be iskolát roma gyerekek szegregációja miatt [The first ever closure of a school due to illegal ethnic segregation of Roma children], Index.hu, 18. October 2016, http://index.hu/belfold/2016/10/18/eloszor_zarnak_be_iskolat_a_roma_gyerekek_szegregacioja_miatt/

66 Nem ütközik Alaptörvénybe a szegregáció [Ethnic segregation does not violate the Constitution], Eduline.hu, 14. July 2016, http://eduline.hu/kozoktatas/2016/7/14/Nem_utkozik_Alaptorvenybe_a_szegregacio_Y59JKZ and Constitutional Court decision 3148/2016 (VII. 22.),http://public.mkab.hu/dev/dontesek.nsf/0/53370F64595DB2CBC1257F4F005E2A3F?OpenDocument

67 EKINT-DRI common analysis, not yet published.

68 Megállapodott a Fidesz és az LMP az új alkotmánybírákról, Sulyok Tamás lesz az elnök [Compromise between Fidesz and LMP on the new constitutional court judges and the president, Tamás Sulyok], Index.hu, 17. November 2016,http://index.hu/belfold/2016/11/17/megallapodott_a_fidesz_es_az_lmp_az_alkotmanybirokrol/

69 6/2016. (III. 11.) AB határozat a Fővárosi Ítélőtábla 8.Pf.20.594/2014/6. számú ítélete alaptörvény-ellenességének megállapításáról és megsemmisítéséről [Constitutional Court decision 6/2016 (III. 11.)], 11 Macrh 2016, http://net.jogtar.hu/jr/gen/hjegy_doc.cgi?docid=A16H0006.AB&txtreferer=00000001.txt

70 A Kormánynak első fokon ki kell adnia a Századvég-tanulmányokat [Ruling at first instance: the Government has to publish the Századvég-analyses], VS.hu, 20. November 2014, http://vs.hu/kozelet/osszes/a-kormanynak-elso-fokon-ki-kell-adnia-a-szazadveg-tanulmanyokat-1120#!s6

71 8/2016. (IV. 6.) AB határozat az Országgyűlés 2016. március 1-jei ülésnapján elfogadott, a Magyar Nemzeti Bankról szóló 2013. évi CXXXIX. törvény módosításáról szóló ki nem hirdetett törvény 4. §-ának a Magyar Nemzeti Bankról szóló 2013. évi CXXXIX. törvény 162. § (4) és (7) bekezdéseit megállapító rendelkezései alaptörvény-ellenességének megállapításáról [Constitutional Court decision 8/2016 (IV. 6.)], 6 April 2016, http://net.jogtar.hu/jr/gen/hjegy_doc.cgi?docid=A16H0008.AB&txtreferer=00000001.txt

72 7/2016. (IV. 6.) AB határozat az országgyűlés által a 2016. március 1-jei ülésnapján elfogadott, a postai szolgáltatásokról szóló 2012. évi ClIX. törvény módosításáról szóló ki nem hirdetett törvény 2. §-a alaptörvény-ellenessége hiányának megállapításáról [Constitutional Court decision 8/2016 (IV. 6.)], 6 April 2016, http://www.alkotmanybirosag.hu/letoltesek/abk_2016_07_alairt.pdf

73 HUDOC database – European Court of Human Rights, http://www.echr.coe.int/Pages/home.aspx?p=caselaw/HUDOC

74 Titkolóznak a lehetséges új strasbourgi bíró személyéről [], TASZ.hu, 24. June 2016, http://tasz.hu/jogallam-vedelme/titkoloznak-lehetseges-uj-strasbourgi-biro-szemelyerol

75 Csoda történt? Lehet, hogy mégsem titokban jelölnek strasbourgi bírót Orbánék? [A miracle might be happened: The nomination of the Strasbourg judge might not take place in secrecy], HVG.hu, 13. September 2016, http://hvg.hu/itthon/20160913_lehet_megsem_titokban_jelolnek_strasbourgi_birot_orbanek

76 Strasbourgi bírójelölés: a civil szervezetek nyilvánosságot követelnek [Strasbourg judge nomination: NGOs demand transparent procedure], TASZ.hu, 21. September 2016, http://tasz.hu/hirek/strasbourgi-birojeloles-civilszervezetek-nyilvanossagot-kovetelnek

77 Kiválasztották a jelölteket az EJEB magyar bírói posztjára [The new ECtHR nominees revealed], Hirado.hu, 27.10.2016, http://www.hirado.hu/2016/10/27/kivalasztottak-a-jelolteket-az-ejeb-mag…

78 Case of Szabó and Vissy v. Hungary (37138/14), 12 January 2016, final at 6. June 2016, http://hudoc.echr.coe.int/eng?i=001-160020

79 Magyarország Alaptörvénye hatodik módosítása [Sixth Amendment of the Basic Law of Hungary], http://net.jogtar.hu/jr/gen/hjegy_doc.cgi?docid=A1600614.ATV&timeshift=fffffff4&txtreferer=00000001.TXT

80 2016. évi LXIX. törvény a terrorizmus elleni fellépéssel összefüggő egyes törvények módosításáról, 46-48.§. [§46-§48, law Nr. 2016/LXIX on the amendments of several acts related to counter-terrorism], http://net.jogtar.hu/jr/gen/hjegy_doc.cgi?docid=A1600069.TV&timeshift=fffffff4&txtreferer=00000001.TXT

81 A TASZ álláspontja a terrorizmussal szembeni fellépéssel összefüggő egyes törvények módosításáról szóló törvény tervezetéről [Opinion of the Hungarian Civil Liberties Union on the law amending further acts related to countering the threat of terrorism], Hungarian Civil Liberties Union, 5. April 2016,http://tasz.hu/files/tasz/imce/a_tasz_allaspontja_a_terrorizmus_elleni_fellepessel_osszefuggo_egyes_torvenyek_modositasarol_szolo_torveny_tervezeterol.pdf

82 The Control of Corruption index of the World Bank (WGI) slight increased with its 61,1 point in 2015 in a comparison with its historically lowest value in 2014 (60,6 points), however it is still far below of the previous reference years. (65,1 point in 2013 and 67,9 in 2009). A similar oscillation of the Hungarian values can be observed in the World Economic Forum's Global Competitiveness Report. The report placed Hungary 136th out of 138 countries on "transparency of government policy making" setting a new negative record not easy to overshadow (119th in 2015/2016 and 113th in 2009/2010). Meanwhile the ranking of "diversion of public funds" improved eleven places and occupied the position 108th out of 138 (119th in 2015/2016 and 94th in 2009/2010). See Worldwide Governance Indicators, Hungary 2007-2014, Aggregate Indicator: Control of Corruption – Percentile Rank,http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=worldwide-governance-indicators, and The Global Competitiveness Report 2016/2017, http://www3.weforum.org/docs/GCR2016-2017/05FullReport/TheGlobalCompetitivenessReport2016-2017_FINAL.pdf In Transparency International's Corruption Perception Index (CPI) Hungary dropped seven places and landed at 57 achieving 48 points in 2016 (in 2015 51 points). See: https://transparency.hu/en/news/cpi-2016-magyarorszag-tovabbra-is-lejtm…

83 Brüsszzel elzárta a pénzcsapot, a Kormány szerint ez is a kvótanépszavazás miatt van [Brussels suspended cohesion transfers; due to the quota referendum, suggests the government], HVG.hu, 30 September 2016,http://hvg.hu/gazdasag/20160930_Brusszel_a_penzcsappal_babral_a_kormany_szerint_ez_is_a_kvotanepszavazas_miatt_van?ver=2&utm_expid=1324304-9.KUdA7X4UQ6ueLGrcG8JcaA.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.de%2F

84 Beszámoló az Országgyűlés részére a Közbeszerzési Hatóság 2015. január 1. és december 31. közötti időszakban végzett tevékenységéről, B/10755 [Annual Activity Report of the Public Procurement Office about the period of January 1 – December 31 2015], http://www.parlament.hu/irom40/10755/10755.pdf

85 The Hungarian Public Procurement Office did not publish the exact share of public procurement procedures involving only one bidder in its report about 2015. See: Beszámoló az Országgyűlés részére a Közbeszerzési Hatóság 2015. január 1. és december 31. közötti időszakban végzett tevékenységéről, B/10755 [Annual Activity Report of the Public Procurement Office about the period of January 1 – December 31 2015], http://www.parlament.hu/irom40/10755/10755.pdf

86 "EU Anti-Corruption Report – Hungary," European Commission, 3 February 2014, http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/home-affairs/what-we-do/policies/organized-crime-and-human-trafficking/corruption/anti-corruption-report/docs/2014_acr_hungary_chapter_en.pdf; "Public Procurement Corruption," Transparency International Hungary, https://transparency.hu/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/PUBLIC-PROCUREMENT-CORRUPTION-INFOGRAPHIC.pdf

87 See Nations in Transit 2016.

88 Judging by Results – 5 Facts on Hungary's 'Illiberal State', Democracy Reporting International (DRI), 9 March 2017, http://democracy-reporting.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/DRI_Report_Hungary_2017_en.pdf

89 225 Milliárd: Mészáros Lőrinc cégei ennyit nyertek idén közbeszerzéseken [Public tenders won by Lőrinc Mészáros totalled up to HUF 225 Billion], 444.hu, 13 December 2016, https://444.hu/2016/12/13/225-milliard-ennyit-nyertek-kozbeszerzeseken-…

90 Így néz ki az MNB alapítvány- és cégbirodalma [This is how the foundation and business empire of the Central Bank look like], Index.hu, 21. April 2016, http://index.hu/gazdasag/2016/04/21/mnb_cegek_alapitvanyok/ and Búcsút mondhatunk a 300 forint alatti Eurónak [Say goodbye for the Euro exchange rate lower than HUF 300], Index.hu, 1. December 2015, http://index.hu/gazdasag/2015/12/01/mnb_merleg_eredmeny_devizatartalek_jegybank_matolcsy/

91 Matolcsy második alapítványa is elbukott a bíróságon [Matolcsy's second foundation also lost the trial], Magyar Narancs, 19. November 2015, http://magyarnarancs.hu/belpol/matolcsy-masodik-alapitvanya-is-elbukott-a-birosagon-97291

92 Felnyomta az ügyészség az MNB alapítványait a közbeszerzésieknél [Prosecutors Office asking the Public Procurement Authority to investigate the Central Bank's foundations], 444.hu, 30. June 2016, http://444.hu/2016/06/30/felnyomta-az-ugyeszseg-az-mnb-alapitvanyait-a-kozbeszerzesieknel

93 Ahol húszmilliárd gurul ellenőrzés nélkül, ott mindig várakozik néhány baráti zseb [Where 20 Billion is spent, some friends always can be found somewhere in the neighborhood], 444.hu, 25. April 2016, http://444.hu/2016/04/25/ahol-huszmilliard-gurul-ellenorzes-nelkul-ott-mindig-varakozik-nehany-barati-zseb

94 Az MNB alapítványai megnyugtatónak nevezték, hogy 84 Milliós bírságot kaptak, amiért törvényt sértettek [Hungarian Central Bank Foundations satisfied with the HUF 84 Million fines due to breaking the law], 444.hu, 9. August 2016, http://444.hu/2016/08/09/az-mnb-alapitvanyai-megnyugtatonak-neveztek-hogy-84-millios-birsagot-kaptak-amiert-torvenyt-sertettek

95 Milliárdokat bukott a külügyes Magyar Nemzeti Kereskedőház, de azért van, aki jól járt [Hungarian National Trading Houses lost billions while being in red, but someone certainly found his interest], 444.hu, 18. July 2016, http://tldr.444.hu/2016/07/18/milliardokat-bukott-a-kulugyes-magyar-nemzeti-kereskedohaz-de-azert-van-aki-jol-jart

96 See Nations in Transit 2016.

97 Ki üzletel állami segítséggel Zambiában? És Laoszban? [Who is doing business with state support in Zambia? And who in Laos?], HVG.hu, 26 March 2015, http://hvg.hu/gazdasag/20150326_Megy_a_keleti_nyitas_nyugati_atlathatosag?ver=2&utm_expid=1324304-9.KUdA7X4UQ6ueLGrcG8JcaA.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.de%2F; Kereskedőházak: kormányközeliek és szocik is nyertesei az újraosztásnak [National Trade Houses: entrepreneurs close to both Fidesz and the Hungarian Socialist Party benefit from the reshuffling], HVG.hu, 1 October 2016, http://hvg.hu/gazdasag/201640__kereskedohazak__fogy_apenz__raszedettek_es_nyertesek__kalmarszellem?ver=2&utm_expid=1324304-9.KUdA7X4UQ6ueLGrcG8JcaA.1&utm_referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fhvg.hu%2Fcimke%2FMagyar%2BNemzeti%2BKeresked%25C5%2591h%25C3%25A1zak

98 Hungarian Residency Bond Program, http://www.residency-bond.eu/residency-bond-program.html

99 Rogán: A Kajmán-szigeteki cég nem offshore , Portfolio.hu, 21 May 2013, http://www.portfolio.hu/deviza_kotveny/akk/rogan_a_kajman-szigeteki_ceg_nem_offshore.184159.html

100 Varga: Megmaradhat a letelepedési kötvény, hat átalakítjuk [Finance Minister Varga: Residency Bonds can stay, once restructured], Portfolio.hu, 28. October 2016, http://www.portfolio.hu/deviza_kotveny/allampapirpiac/varga_megmaradhat_a_letelepedesi_kotveny_ha_atalakitjuk.4.239432.html

101 Bődületeset kaszálhatnak Rogán ötletén [The Lucrative Idea of Antal Rogán], Index.hu, 29. January 2015, http://index.hu/gazdasag/2015/01/29/valaki_boduleteset_kaszal_rogan_otleten/

102 Orbán még tapsol is a neki állított csapdának [Intended to be a trap, but Orbán welcomes it], Portfolio.hu,, 19 October 2016, http://www.portfolio.hu/deviza_kotveny/allampapirpiac/orban_meg_tapsol_is_a_neki_allitott_csapdanak.4.238974.html and Varga: Megmaradhat a letelepedési kötvény, hat átalakítjuk [Finance Minister Varga: Residency Bonds can stay, once restructured], Portfolio.hu, 28. October 2016, http://www.portfolio.hu/deviza_kotveny/allampapirpiac/varga_megmaradhat_a_letelepedesi_kotveny_ha_atalakitjuk.4.239432.htmlé Orbán is elismerte: bukhat a letelepedési kötvény [Orbán admitted: the Residency Bond Program can fail], VG.hu, 28. October 2016, http://www.vg.hu/gazdasag/orban-is-elismerte-bukhat-a-letelepedesi-kotv…

103 Hajszálon múlt a fideszes Voldemort letartóztatása [The almost arrested Mr. Voldemort], Index.hu, 18. August 2018, http://index.hu/gazdasag/2016/08/18/majdnem_rajtautottek_a_fideszes_voldemorton/

104 Az Európai Bizottság megszüntette az egyik eljárást Paks II ügyében [The European Commission canceled one of the two procedures investigating Paks II], Energiaklub.hu, 21. November 2016, http://energiaklub.hu/hirek/az-europai-bizottsag-megszuntette-az-egyik-…

105 "European Commission calls Hungary to halt procurements for Paks nuclear expansion," Nuclear News, 17 November 2015, http://nuclear-news.net/2015/11/18/european-commission-calls-on-hungary-to-halt-procurements-for-paks-nuclear-expansion; "European Commission – November Infringement Package: key decision," European Commission, 19 November 2015, http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-15-6006_mt.htm

106 See details in the previous Freedom House Nations in Transit 2016 Hungary Report

107 Nagy metrótrükk: nem is felújított kocsikat hoznak az oroszok? [The big subway trickery: the Russians do not deliver overhauled train cars], HVG.hu, 2. June 2016, http://hvg.hu/gazdasag/20160602_3_metrokocsi_metrowagonmash?ver=2&utm_expid=1324304-9.KUdA7X4UQ6ueLGrcG8JcaA.1&utm_referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.de%2F

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